Climate and Disaster Risk Assessment

climate and disaster risk assessment

Natural disasters that occur in the Municipality of Carmona are generally the result of atmospheric conditions such as heavy rainfall, thunderstorms, and tropical cyclones. These events can result in floods, landslides, and other incidents giving rise to casualties and disruption to properties and economic activities. Other noteworthy natural hazards present are the likelihood of a 7.2 Magnitude Earthquake and of ground rupture due to the existence of the West Valley Fault System that runs through the geographical jurisdiction of the Municipality. The consequences of any natural disaster and the countermeasures required to deal with it will vary according to the circumstances.

In May 2010, former President Macapagal Arroyo signed into law RA 10121 also known as the Disaster Risk Reduction and Management (DRRM) Act of 2012. This law embedded the goal of Hyogo Framework for Action 2005-2015, an international effort of the United Nations (UN) through the International Strategy for Disaster Reduction (ISDR), which is to mainstream resilience building against disasters not only in the national government but local communities as well. This also provides a legal basis for DRRM in the country and catalyzes the growth of policy and plan formulation, implementation of actions and measures pertaining to all aspects of disaster risk reduction and management, including good governance, risk assessment and early warning, knowledge building, and awareness-raising, reducing underlying risk factors, and preparedness for effective response and early recovery.

In response, Carmona organized its Municipal Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Council (MDRRMC) followed by the creation of the Municipal Disaster Risk Reduction and Management Office (MDRRMO) to oversee the entirety of DRRM in the Municipality.

Climate change impacts

The changing climate practically affects all societies and ecosystems in a broad variety of ways. Changes in climate alter rainfall, influence crop yields, human health, cause changes to forests and other vegetation, and strain our energy supply. Warming temperatures, changes in precipitation, and increases in the frequency or intensity of some extreme weather events such as typhoons threaten our health by affecting the food we eat, the water we drink, the air we breathe, and the weather we experience.

Increases in the incidence of climate-related diseases and illnesses can be expected vis-à-vis access to critical point facilities such as clinics and hospitals. Natural resource-based production will be severely affected since higher inputs but low outputs will be common due to extreme temperatures and varying precipitations. The proliferation of pests and crop diseases will also be expected due to climatic changes. Clogged drainages resulting in persistent floods due to extreme rainfall events in urban areas particularly those with low vegetation and a high percentage of concretized spaces will be common.

Power consumption, especially during months with high temperatures and hot days will increase drastically resulting in higher costs. Water will also be scarce due to competing usage.

Hazard inventory

The Municipality is susceptible to a number of hazards such as flooding, rain-induced landslide (RIL), ground rupture, ground shaking, liquefaction, earthquake-induced landslide (EIL), El Nino (drought), and pest infestation (rice black bug). Based on present assessments from various governmental agencies, the susceptibility, magnitude, speed of onset, frequency, and the areas covered are shown in Table 1. Among the hazards identified, ground shaking poses the highest degree of impact covering the whole Municipality. Based on the REDAS study, Carmona is expecting an earthquake with a magnitude of 8.0 destroying thousands of properties, billions on economic value, thousands injured, and hundreds dead. In terms of flooding, a variation on available data shows that only a few portions of Barangay Maduya and Cabilang Baybay will be inundated.

Table 1. Hazard Inventory Matrix, Municipality of Carmona, Province of Cavite

Hazard	Map Information	Hazard Description
Hazard	Source	Susceptibility	Magnitude	Speed of Onset	Frequency and/or Duration	Areas Covered
Flood Susceptibility	NAMRIA, REDAS	High		Slow	1 day	Barangays 1-13
Ground Rupture	PHIVOLCS	Active Fault-Certain				Lantic, Mabuhay, Cabilang Baybay
		Active Fault- Inferred				Lantic
		Active Fault – Concealed				Lantic
		With Downthrown Area				Lantic, Milagrosa, Mabuhay
Ground Shaking	PHIVOLCS	PEIS VIII & above	7.0 & higher	Fast	Less than a minute	14 barangays
Liquefaction	NAMRIA, REDAS	Moderate				Portion of Maduya
Liquefaction	NAMRIA, REDAS	Low				Poblacion 1-8 and Portion of Maduya, Cabilang Baybay, Mabuhay &Milagrosa
Drought	DA	Medium – High		Slow	4 months	Barangays Maduya, Mabuhay, Milagrosa, Bancal & Lantic
Others (Pest Infestation – Rice Black Bug	DA	Medium – High		Creeping	4 months	Barangays Maduya, Mabuhay, Milagrosa, Bancal & Lantic

Hazard inventory

Depicted in Table 117 is the inventory of Hazards present in each barangay. As shown, all barangays will be affected by ground shaking due to the presence of the West Valley Fault System (WVS).

Table 2. Hazard Susceptibility Inventory Matrix, Municipality of Carmona, Province of Cavite

Barangay	Ground shaking	Ground Rupture	Liquefaction	Flood	Drought	Pest Infestation
Poblacion 1	✓		✓	✓
Poblacion 2	✓		✓	✓
Poblacion 3	✓		✓	✓
Poblacion 4	✓		✓	✓
Poblacion 5	✓		✓	✓
Poblacion 6	✓		✓	✓
Poblacion 7	✓		✓	✓
Poblacion 8	✓		✓	✓
Maduya	✓		✓	✓	✓	✓
Cabilang Baybay	✓	✓	✓	✓
Mabuhay	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓
Milagrosa	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓
Lantic	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓	✓
Bancal	✓				✓	✓

Exposure database for ground shaking

The exposure database provides baseline information to all elements at risk such as: population, assets, structures, economic activities and environmental resources which are located in areas exposed to potential impacts of ground shaking. This determines the number of affected individuals, structures, and extent of areas located within hazard susceptible areas. As shown in Table 91, all barangays in Carmona are affected by ground shaking.

Table 3. Ground Shaking Population Attribute Database (Exposure Indicators), Municipality of Carmona, Cavite

Barangay	Total Land Area (Hectares)	Residential Area (Hectares)	Exposure indicators
			Barangay Population			Population Density per Hectare of Residential Area
			Total Male	Total Female	Total Population	Population Density per Hectare of Residential Area
Barangay 1	12.93	10.24	1527	1548	3075	300.2929688
Barangay 2	3.27	3.25	329	311	640	196.9230769
Barangay 3	2.69	3.2	382	390	772	241.25
Barangay 4	3	3.82	294	331	625	163.6125654
Barangay 5	2.46	2.6	283	313	596	229.2307692
Barangay 6	2.78	2.56	393	382	775	302.734375
Barangay 7	2.38	2.16	310	356	666	308.3333333
Barangay 8	15.56	6.19	1459	1492	2951	476.7366721
Barangay 9	255.37	40.59	4912	5089	10001	246.3907366
Barangay 10	434.2	222.97	3407	3517	6924	31.05350496
Barangay 11	369.22	85.38	4455	4581	9036	105.8327477
Barangay 12	95.07	41.71	11246	11573	22819	547.0870295
Barangay 13	1363.69	167	8157	8451	16608	99.4491018
Barangay 14	405.18	62.77	6371	6237	12608	200.8602836
Total	2,967.8	654.44	43,525	44,571	88,096	134.61

Ground Shaking Hazard Map

Barangay	Adaptive capacity
Barangay	Wealth	Information	Infrastructure	Technology	Institution and Governance	Social Capital
Barangay 1	– All barangays have 5% budget allocation for Gender and Development (GAD ) and Disaster Risk Reduction and Management (DRRM) – The Local Government Unit may also provide assistance thru its 5% budget allocation for GAD and DRRM – Provision of livelihood support – Provision of health and educational services – Provision of disaster relief services	– Regular conduct of Community-Based Monitoring System (CBMS) – National Household Targeting System for Poverty Reduction (NHTS-PR) – Conduct of appropriate training and seminars on ground shaking and its related hazards – Establishment of Local Monitoring System (LMS) – Conduct of information, education and communication (IEC) campaigns	– Placement and implementation of Early Warning Systems (EWS) – Establishment of permanent evacuation center/s – Institution of relocation programs – Retrofitting programs	– Conduct and continuous updating of Rapid Earthquake and Disaster Assessment thru REDAS -Securing of an earthquake intensity meter	– Adoption and implementation of RA 10121 – Strict enforcement of the National Building Code -Institution of local disaster risk reduction policies – Review and implementation of local Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP) – Updating and strict implementation of Local Zoning Ordinance	– Strengthening and development of appropriate programs thru Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) – Sourcing out CSO-PO partnership networks – Sourcing and establishing Academe Partners – Mandatory creation and mobilization of rescue teams for highly susceptible organizations (i.e. industries, groups, company, etc.)
Barangay 2
Barangay 3
Barangay 4
Barangay 5
Barangay 6
Barangay 7
Barangay 8
Barangay 9
Barangay 10
Barangay 11
Barangay 12
Barangay 13
Barangay 14

Table 4. Disaster Risk Assessment (DRA) Population Exposure Table, Municipality of Carmona, Cavite

Hazard: Ground Shaking

Barangay	Hazard			Exposure
Barangay	Susceptibility	Likelihood of Occurrence	Event parameter intensity	Barangay population	Estimated residential area (has)	Residential area to population density (persons/has) e/f	Affected area (has)	Affected population GxH	Exposure Percentage i/e
A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J
A	B	C	D	E	F	G	H	I	J
Barangay 1	HSA	1	8	3,075	10.24	300.29	10.24	3,075	100.00%
Barangay 2	HSA	1	8	640	3.25	196.92	3.25	640	100.00%
Barangay 3	HSA	1	8	772	3.20	241.25	3.20	772	100.00%
Barangay 4	HSA	1	8	625	3.82	163.61	3.82	625	100.00%
Barangay 5	HSA	1	8	596	2.60	229.23	2.60	596	100.00%
Barangay 6	HSA	1	8	775	2.56	302.73	2.56	775	100.00%
Barangay 7	HSA	1	8	666	2.16	308.33	2.16	666	100.00%
Barangay 8	HSA	1	8	2951	6.19	476.74	6.19	2,951	100.00%
Barangay 9	HSA	1	8	10001	40.59	246.39	40.59	10,001	100.00%
Barangay 10	HSA	1	8	6924	222.97	31.05	222.97	6,924	100.00%
Barangay 11	HSA	1	8	9036	85.38	105.83	85.38	9,036	100.00%
Barangay 12	HSA	1	8	22,819	41.71	547.09	41.71	22,819	100.00%
Barangay 13	HSA	1	8	16,608	167.00	99.45	167.00	16,608	100.00%
Barangay14	HSA	1	8	12608	62.77	200.86	62.77	12,608	100.00%

Table 5. Ground Shaking Critical Facilities Database, Municipality of Carmona

Barangay	Exposure indicators					Sensitivity indicators
Barangay	Type	Name	Area (Sq. Meters)	Estimated Construction Cost (PhP)	Capacity (Classrooms, Bed Capacity, Loading Capacity)	Wall Materials Used	Existing Condition	Structure Employing Hazard Resistant Design
1	Health Center	Brgy. 1 Health Center	50	700,000	20 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
1	Brgy. Hall	Brgy Hall	120	1,600,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
2	Day Care Center	Brgy. 2 Day Care Center			20 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Hospital	Pagamutang Bayan ng Carmona			25 beds	Concrete	Fair	Yes
	Brgy. Hall	Barangay Hall	110	1,500,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
3	Brgy. Hall	Brgy. Hall	96	1,800,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
4	Health Center	Main Health Center	560	11,000,000	150 patients	Concrete	Very Good	Yes
	Government Building	Municipal Hall	2150	34,000,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
	Evacuation	Hon. Marciano Mapanoo Park	1680	10,000,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
	Brgy. Hall	Brgy Hall	120	1,600,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
5	Brgy. Hall	Brgy Hall	70	1,100,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
6	Brgy. Hall	Barangay Hall	80	1,350,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
7	Brgy. Hall	Barangay Hall	130	2,200,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
8	Day Care Center	Rosario Day Care Center	56	700,000	15 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Barangay 8 Health Center	56	700,000	30 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Carmona Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Carmona National High School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	120	1,500,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
9	Bridge	Maduya-Soro-Soro Bridge				Concrete	Good	Yes
		SLEX Bridge				Concrete	Good	Yes
		CPM Bridge				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Government Building	DILG Compound	1 626	25,000,000		Concrete		Yes
	Day Care Center	Maduya Day Care Center	110	1,100,000	25 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Maduya Health Center	120	1,100,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Maduya Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	CvSU				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Maduya Barangay Hall	150	2,000,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
10	Day Care Center	Hon. Marcelino L. Basbas Sr. DCC	70	900,000	30 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Barangay CabilangBaybay Health Center	56	500,000	40 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	CabilangBaybay Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	160	2,000,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
11	Bridge	Mabuhay Bridge				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Day Care Center	Mabuhay Day Care Center	70	900,000	30 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Mabuhay Health Center	100	1,400,000	50 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Mabuhay Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	200	2,500,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
12	Bridge	Milagrosa Bridge (MC)				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Bridge	Milagrosa-Lantic Bridge				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Day Care Center	Milagrosa Proper Day Care Center	64	850,000	15 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 4 Day Care Center	90	1,400,000	25 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 3 Day Care Center	64	850,000	25 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 2 Day Care Center	56	650,000	25 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Milagrosa Health Center	114	3,000,000	70 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 3 Health Center	72	1,100,000	30 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 4 Health Center	96	1,700,000	50 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Milagrosa Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Milagrosa West Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	240	4, 000, 000		Concrete	Good	Yes
13	Bridge	Cedar Bridge	50			Concrete	Good	Yes
	Day Care Center	Lantic Day Care Center	70	900,000	30 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Paligawan Matanda Day Care Center	70	900,000	30 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Davilan Day Care Center	42	450,000	10 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Lantic Health Center	64	1,000,000	50 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Carmona Estate Health Center	100	1,250,000	50 patients	Concrete	Very Good	Yes
		PaligawanMatanda Health Center	105	1,600,000	30 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Lantic Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Lantic Barangay Hall	240	3,850,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
14	Bridge	Bancal Bridge	935	80,000,000	20 Tons	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Day Care Center	San Agustin Day Care Center	70	900,000	30 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Bancal Health Center	115	1,380,000	100 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Bancal Elem. School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	240	2,500,000		Concrete	Good	Yes

Table 6. Disaster Risk Assessment Summary Matrix

Hazard: Ground Shaking

Decision Area/s	Technical Findings	Implications	Policy Interventions
A	B	C	D
All Lifelines	1. Categorized as low risk but the impact is severe affecting all lifelines in the Municipality particularly bridges. 2. Disruption of access system may last particularly bridges may last for days up to a month, affecting settlements and production areas	1. Temporary isolation of communities due to long-term disruption of the access system due to ground shaking 2. Poses difficulty in evacuation and response making which may lead to death and injuries in isolated areas 3. Major disruption in the transportation of agricultural and industrial produce resulting in potential losses	1. Strategic establishment of alternate/escape routes leading to relatively safer areas 2. Hazard proofing/reinforcement of lifeline facilities particularly bridges and national highways 3. Establishment and institution of partner CSOs for immediate rehabilitation 4. Formulation and institution of earthquake contingency plan
All Population	1. Population that will be severely affected by ground shaking are as follows: 4% living in makeshift houses; 31% are young and old; 0.7% are with disabilities; 4.9% are living below poverty threshold, and close to 1% are malnourished	1. As per REDAS, a total of 256 deaths, 4,924 injuries and 1,000 people will be missing in the event of intensity 8 earthquake	1. Conduct of regular earthquake drills and simulation exercises in all locations 2. Conduct of IEC campaigns to inform populace of what to do, before, during and after an earthquake 3. Capacitation and formation of rescue teams in every barangays and other sub-levels in the community

Decision Area/s

Technical Findings

Implications

Policy Interventions

All Critical Facilities All Urban Use

1. The risk for all critical facilities and urban use was determined low however, the severity of impact is very high. 2. The conditions of all infrastructures are generally good as most are newly constructed and/or rehabilitated. 3. There are a number of makeshift houses.

1. It is assumed that in a worst case scenario, 800 makeshift houses will be destroyed while 400 makeshift dwellings will be partially damaged.

2. There will be a total of 345 million of damages to critical facilities. 3. Most urban use will be affected.

1. Regular monitoring, rehabilitation and retrofitting of all infrastructures following the standards of the National Building Code.

2. Mandatory relocation of people living in makeshift housing and/or improvement/rehabilitation.

Exposure database for ground rupture

A small fault line was recorded along San Lazaro Drive between Governor’s Drive and Carmona River in Brgy. Mabuhay. Several fault lines were discovered downhill at the Canyon Ranch Residence at the San Lazaro Drive and outside Carmona Estates in Lantic as it course along the Carmona River southwards. It is located at the boundary between Silang, Cavite and Biñan, Laguna.

Table 7. Ground Rupture Population Attribute Database (Exposure Indicators), Municipality of Carmona

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Barangay	Total Land Area (Hectares)	Residential Area (Hectares)	Exposure indicators
			Barangay Population			Population Density per Hectare of Residential Area
			Total Male	Total Female	Total Population	Population Density per Hectare of Residential Area
Barangay 10	434.2	222.97	3407	3517	6924	31.05350496
Barangay 11	369.22	85.38	4455	4581	9036	105.8327477
Barangay 12	95.07	41.71	11246	11573	22819	547.0870295
Barangay 13	1,363.69	167	8157	8451	16608	99.4491018
Total
Barangay	ADAPTIVE CAPACITY
Barangay	Wealth	Information	Infrastructure	Technology	Institution and Governance	Social Capital
10	– All barangays have 5% budget allocation for Gender and Development (GAD ) and Disaster Risk Reduction and Management (DRRM) – The Local Government Unit may also provide assistance thru its 5% budget allocation for GAD and DRRM – Provision of livelihood support – Provision of health and educational services – Provision of disaster relief services	– Regular conduct of Community-Based Monitoring System (CBMS) – National Household Targeting System for Poverty Reduction (NHTS-PR) – Conduct of appropriate trainings and seminars on ground shaking and its related hazards – Establishment of Local Monitoring System (LMS) – Conduct of information, education and communication (IEC) campaigns	– placement and implementation of Early Warning Systems (EWS) – Establishment of permanent evacuation center/s – Institution of relocation programs – Retrofitting programs	– Conduct and continuous updating of Rapid Earthquake and Disaster Assessment thru REDAS -Securing of an earthquake intensity meter	– Adoption and implementation of RA 10121 – Strict enforcement of the National Building Code -Institution of local disaster risk reduction policies – Review and implementation of local Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP) – Updating and strict implementation of Local Zoning Ordinance	– Strengthening and development of appropriate programs thru Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) – Sourcing out CSO-PO partnership networks – Sourcing and establishing Academe Partners – Mandatory creation and mobilization of rescue teams for highly susceptible organizations (i.e. industries, groups, company, etc.)
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Barangay	Exposure indicators				Sensitivity indicators
Barangay	Type	Name	Area (Sq. Meters)	Capacity (Classrooms, Bed Capacity, Loading Capacity)	Wall Materials Used	Existing Condition	Structure Employing Hazard Resistant Design
Brgy10	Bridge	Southwoods Drive Bridge	900	20 Tons	Concrete	Poor	Yes
	Day Care Center	ML Basbas Sr. Day Care Center	100	112 students	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	BHS	20	1 bed	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Schools	CABES	3625	48 classrooms	Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 11	Bridge	Mabuhay-Milagrosa Bridge	102	20 Tons	Concrete	Poor	Yes
	Bridge	Cityland-Mabuhay Bridge	84	10 Tons	Concrete	Fair	Yes
	Day Care Center	Mabuhay Day Care Center	80	80 students	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	BHS	12	1 bed	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Schools	MABES	4695	24 classrooms	Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 12	Bridge	Milagrosa-Lantic Bridge	264	20 Tons	Steel	Fair	Yes
	Day Care Center	Milagrosa Proper Day Care Center	60	70 students	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 2 Day Care Center	80	41 students	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 3 Day Care Center	100	90 students	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 4 Day Care Center	80		Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Brgy Proper BHS	12	1 bed	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 3 BHS	12	1 bed	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 4 BHS	16	1 bed	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Schools	MILES Main	2946	20 classrooms	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Schools	MILES West	1280	20 classrooms	Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 13	Bridge	Kinnari Bridge	300	20 Tons	Concrete	Good	Yes
		MJC Bridge 1	300	20 Tons	Concrete	Good	Yes
		MJC Bridge 2	300	20 Tons	Concrete	Good	Yes
		MJC Bridge 3	300	20 Tons	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Lantic Day Care Center	120	122 students	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Davilan Day Care Center	80	18 students	Concrete	Good	Yes
		PaligawanMatanda Day Care Center	80	41 students	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Lantic Proper BHS	16	1 bed	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Carmona Estates BHS	16	1 bed	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Paligawan BHS	12	1 bed	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Schools	LANES	5000	23 classrooms	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Schools	Paligawan Elem. School	5000	7 classrooms	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Evacuation Center	Carmona Sports Center	3025	1210 person	Concrete	Good	Yes
Barangay	Exposure indicator			Sensitivity indicators
Barangay	Road Name	Road Classification	Replacement Cost per linear kilometer	Surface Type	Existing Condition	Hazard Resistant Design
Brgy 10	Governor’s Drive	National road	19,840,000	Concrete	Fair	YES
	San Roque	Barangay	4,710,000	Concrete	Poor	YES
	San Marcelino-West	Barangay	7,250,000	Asphalt	Poor	No
	San Marcelino-East	Barangay	8,990,000	Asphalt	Poor	No
Brgy 11	Governor’s Drive	National road	32,160,000	Concrete	Good	YES
	Sugar Road	Barangay	28,060,000	Concrete	Fair	YES
	Hebron	Barangay	1,770,000	Concrete	Fair	YES
	JM Loyola St	Municipal	12,470,000	Concrete	Good	YES
Brgy 12	Sta. Maria	Barangay	10,510,000	Concrete	Fair	YES
	Sta. Rosa	Barangay	5,070,000	Concrete	Fair	YES
	Patindig-Araw	Barangay	9,380,000	Concrete	Poor	No
	Domingo C Carillo Sr	Barangay	12,070,000	Concrete	Fair	No
Brgy 13	Alfonso Macha	Barangay	12,120,000	Asphalt	Poor	No
	Paligawan Bata	Barangay	28,190,000	Asphalt	Poor	No
	Bonifacio Masungsong	Barangay	38,500,000	Earth/Gravel	Poor	No
	Davilan	Barangay	6,380,000	Earth/Gravel	Poor	No
Decision Area/s	Technical Findings	Implications	Policy Interventions
A	B	C	D
All Critical Facilities All Urban Use All Population	1. Determined ground rupture located at Barangay Cabilang Baybay, Milagrosa, Mabuhay and Lantic are mostly at idle/open areas with minimal infrastructures. 2. Affected Urban use includes unoccupied commercial lots, makeshift housings for workers and portion of the race track located at the Manila Jockey Club.	1. Traversed areas particularly with establishments will be severely damaged.	1. Mandatory establishment and implementation of 5 meter buffer zones on both sides of the fault line. 2. Prohibition of establishment in and within the fault lines and its buffer zones.
Barangay	Total Land Area (Hectares)	Residential Area (Hectares)	EXPOSURE INDICATORS
			Barangay Population			Population Density per Hectare of Residential Area
			Total Male	Total Female	Total Population	Population Density per Hectare of Residential Area
Barangay 1	12.93	10.24	1527	1548	3075	300.2929688
Barangay 2	3.27	3.25	329	311	640	196.9230769
Barangay 3	2.69	3.2	382	390	772	241.25
Barangay 4	3	3.82	294	331	625	163.6125654
Barangay 5	2.46	2.6	283	313	596	229.2307692
Barangay 6	2.78	2.56	393	382	775	302.734375
Barangay 7	2.38	2.16	310	356	666	308.3333333
Barangay 8	15.56	6.19	1459	1492	2951	476.7366721
Barangay 9	255.37	40.59	4912	5089	10001	246.3907366
Barangay 10	434.2	222.97	3407	3517	6924	31.05350496
Barangay 11	369.22	85.38	4455	4581	9036	105.8327477
Barangay 12	95.07	41.71	11246	11573	22819	547.0870295
Barangay 13	1363.69	167	8157	8451	16608	99.4491018
Total
Brgy	Adaptive capacity
Brgy	Wealth	Information	Infrastructure	Technology	Institution and Governance	Social Capital
Brgy 1	– All barangays have 5% budget allocation for Gender and Development (GAD ) and Disaster Risk Reduction and Management (DRRM) – The Local Government Unit may also provide assistance thru its 5% budget allocation for GAD and DRRM – Provision of livelihood support – Provision of health and educational services – Provision of disaster relief services	– Regular conduct of Community-Based Monitoring System (CBMS) – National Household Targeting System for Poverty Reduction (NHTS-PR) – Conduct of appropriate trainings and seminars on ground shaking and its related hazards – Establishment of Local Monitoring System (LMS) – Conduct of information, education and communication (IEC) campaigns	– Placement and implementation of Early Warning Systems (EWS) – Establishment of permanent evacuation center/s – Institution of relocation programs – Retrofitting programs	– Conduct and continuous updating of Rapid Earthquake and Disaster Assessment thru REDAS -Securing of an earthquake intensity meter	– Adoption and implementation of RA 10121 – Strict enforcement of the National Building Code -Institution of local disaster risk reduction policies – Review and implementation of local Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP) – Updating and strict implementation of Local Zoning Ordinance	– Strengthening and development of appropriate programs thru Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) – Sourcing out CSO-PO partnership networks – Sourcing and establishing Academe Partners – Mandatory creation and mobilization of rescue teams for highly susceptible organizations (i.e. industries, groups, company, etc.)
Brgy 2
Brgy 3
Brgy 4
Brgy 5
Brgy 6
Brgy 7
Brgy 8
Brgy 9
Brgy 10
Brgy 11
Brgy 12
Brgy 13
BRGY	Exposure indicators				Sensitivity indicators
BRGY	Number of Farming Dependent Households	Total Area Allocation (Hectares)	Dominant Crop/ Variety of Produce	Average Output Per Hectare (PHP)	Number of Farming Families who Attended Climate Field School	Percentage of Farming Families Using Sustainable Production Techniques	Percentage of Farmers with Access to Hazard Information	Percentage of Production Areas with Infra structure Coverage	Percentage Areas with Irrigation Coverage	Percentage Areas with Water Impoundment
Brgy 9	45	98.00	rice	95,000.00	10	50%	60%	1	100%	40%
Brgy 10	2	1.00	mango	250,000.00	0	50%	60%	0	0%	0%
Brgy 11	17	29.00	Banana	150,000.00	2	0.5	0.6	0	0	0
Brgy 12	23	3.50	Banana	150,000.00	5	0.5	0.6	0	0	0
Brgy 13	20	101.00	rice	95,000.00	10	0.5	0.6	1	1	1

BRGY	Exposure indicators					Sensitivity indicators
BRGY	Type	Name	Area (Sq. Meters)	Estimated Construction Cost (PhP)	Capacity (Classrooms, Bed Capacity, Loading Capacity)	Wall Materials Used	Existing Condition	Structure Employing Hazard Resistant Design
Brgy 1	Health Center	Brgy. 1 Health Center	50	700,000	20 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 1	Brgy Hall	Brgy. Hall	120	1,600, 000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 2	Day Care Center	Brgy. 2 Day Care Center			20 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Hospital	Pagamutang Bayan ng Carmona			25 beds	Concrete	Fair	Yes
	Brgy Hall	Brgy. Hall	110	1,500, 000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 3	Brgy Hall	Brgy. Hall	96	1,800, 000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 4	Health Center	Main Health Center	560	11,000, 000	150 patients	Concrete	Very Good	Yes
	Government Building	Municipal Hall	2150	34,000, 000		Concrete	Good	Yes
	Evacuation	Hon. Marciano Mapanoo Park	1680	10,000,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	120	1,600, 000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 5	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	70	1,100, 000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 6	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	80	1,350, 000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 7	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	130	2,200, 000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 8	Day Care Center	Rosario Day Care Center	56	700, 000	15 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Barangay 8 Health Center	56	700,000	30 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Carmona Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Carmona National High School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	120	1,500, 000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 9	Bridge	Maduya Bridge				Concrete	Good	Yes
		SLEX Bridge				Concrete	Good	Yes
		CPM Bridge				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Government Building	DILG Compound	1 626	25,000, 000		Concrete		Yes
	Day Care Center	Maduya Day Care Center	110	1,100, 000	25 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Maduya Health Center	120	1,100, 000		Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Maduya Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	CvSU				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Maduya Barangay Hall	150	2,000, 000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 10	Day Care Center	Hon. Marcelino L. Basbas Sr. DCC	70	900,000	30 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Barangay Cabilang Baybay Health Center	56	500,000	40 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Cabilang Baybay Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	160	2,000,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 11	Bridge	Mabuhay Bridge				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Day Care Center	Mabuhay Day Care Center	70	900,000	30 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Mabuhay Health Center	100	1,400,000	50 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Mabuhay Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	200	2,500,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 12	Bridge	Milagrosa Bridge (MC)				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Bridge	Milagrosa-Lantic Bridge				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Day Care Center	Milagrosa Proper Day Care Center	64	850,000	15 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 4 Day Care Center	90	1,400,000	25 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 3 Day Care Center	64	850,000	25 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 2 Day Care Center	56	650,000	25 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Milagrosa Health Center	114	3,000,000	70 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 3 Health Center	72	1,100,000	30 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 4 Health Center	96	1,700,000	50 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Milagrosa Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Milagrosa West Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	240	4,000,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 13	Bridge	Cedar Bridge	50			Concrete	Good	Yes
	Day Care Center	Lantic Day Care Center	70	900,000	30 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Paligawan Matanda Day Care Center	70	900,000	30 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Davilan Day Care Center	42	450,000	10 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Lantic Health Center	64	1,000,000	50 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Carmona Estate Health Center	100	1,250,000	50 patients	Concrete	Very Good	Yes
		PaligawanMatanda Health Center	105	1,600,000	30 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Lantic Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Brgy Hall	Lantic Brgy Hall	240	3,850,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Decision Area/s	Technical Findings	Implications	Policy Interventions
A	B	C	D
All Lifelines	1. Categorized as low risk but the impact is severe affecting all lifelines in the Municipality particularly bridges. 2. Disruption of access system may last particularly bridges may last for days up to a month, affecting settlements and production areas	1. Temporary isolation of communities due to long-term disruption of the access system due to ground shaking 2. Poses difficulty in evacuation and response making which may lead to death and injuries in isolated areas 3. Major disruption in the transportation of agricultural and industrial produce resulting in potential losses	1. Strategic establishment of alternate/escape routes leading to relatively safer areas 2. Hazard proofing/reinforcement of lifeline facilities particularly bridges and national highways. 3. Establishment and institution of partner CSOs for immediate rehabilitation. 4. Formulation and institution of earthquake contingency plan.
Decision Area/s	Technical Findings	Implications	Policy Interventions
A	B	C	D
All Population	1. Population that will be severely affected by ground shaking are as follows: 4% living in makeshift houses; 31% are young and old; 0.7% are with disabilities; 4.9% are living below poverty threshold, and close to 1% are malnourished.	1. As per REDAS, a total of 256 deaths, 4,924 injuries and 1,000 people will be missing in the event of intensity 8 earthquake.	1. Conduct of regular earthquake drills and simulation exercises in all locations. 2. Conduct of IEC campaigns to inform populace of what to do, before, during and after and earthquake. 3. Capacitation and formation of rescue teams in every barangays and other sub-levels in the community.
All Critical Facilities All Urban Use	1. The risk for all critical facilities and urban use was determined low however, the severity of impact is very high. 2. The conditions of all infrastructures are generally good as most are newly constructed and/or rehabilitated. 3. There are a number of makeshift houses.	1. It is assumed that in a worst case scenario, 800 makeshift houses will be destroyed while 400 makeshift dwellings will be partially damaged. 2. There will be a total of 345 million of damages to critical facilities. 3. Most urban use will be affected.	1. Regular monitoring, rehabilitation and retrofitting of all infrastructures following the standards of the National Building Code. 2. Mandatory relocation of people living in makeshift housing and/or improvement/rehabilitation.
Barangay	Total Land Area (Hectares)	Residential Area (Hectares)	Exposure indicators
			Barangay Population			Population Density per Hectare of Residential Area
			Total Male	Total Female	Total Population	Population Density per Hectare of Residential Area
Barangay 1	12.93	10.24	1527	1548	3075	300.2929688
Barangay 2	3.27	3.25	329	311	640	196.9230769
Barangay 3	2.69	3.2	382	390	772	241.25
Barangay 4	3	3.82	294	331	625	163.6125654
Barangay 5	2.46	2.6	283	313	596	229.2307692
Barangay 6	2.78	2.56	393	382	775	302.734375
Barangay 7	2.38	2.16	310	356	666	308.3333333
Barangay 8	15.56	6.19	1459	1492	2951	476.7366721
Barangay 9	255.37	40.59	4912	5089	10001	246.3907366
Barangay 10	434.2	222.97	3407	3517	6924	31.05350496
Barangay 11	369.22	85.38	4455	4581	9036	105.8327477
Barangay 12	95.07	41.71	11246	11573	22819	547.0870295
Barangay 13	1363.69	167	8157	8451	16608	99.4491018
Total	2, 562.62	591.67	37,154	38, 334	75, 488
Barangay	Adaptive capacity
Barangay	Wealth	Information	Infrastructure	Technology	Institution and Governance	Social Capital
Barangays 1-13	– All barangays have 5% budget allocation for Gender and Development (GAD ) and Disaster Risk Reduction and Management (DRRM) – The Local Government Unit may also provide assistance thru its 5% budget allocation for GAD and DRRM – Provision of livelihood support – Provision of health and educational services – Provision of disaster relief services	– Regular conduct of Community-Based Monitoring System (CBMS) – National Household Targeting System for Poverty Reduction (NHTS-PR) – Conduct of appropriate trainings and seminars on ground shaking and its related hazards – Establishment of Local Monitoring System (LMS) – Conduct of information, education and communication (IEC) campaigns	– placement and implementation of Early Warning Systems (EWS) – Establishment of permanent evacuation center/s – Institution of relocation programs – Retrofitting programs	– Conduct and continuous updating of Rapid Earthquake and Disaster Assessment thru REDAS -Securing of an earthquake intensity meter	– Adoption and implementation of RA 10121 – Strict enforcement of the National Building Code -Institution of local disaster risk reduction policies – Review and implementation of local Comprehensive Land Use Plan (CLUP) – Updating and strict implementation of Local Zoning Ordinance	– Strengthening and development of appropriate programs thru Public-Private Partnerships (PPP) – Sourcing out CSO-PO partnership networks – Sourcing and establishing Academe Partners – Mandatory creation and mobilization of rescue teams for highly susceptible organizations (i.e. industries, groups, company, etc.)
Brgy	Exposure indicators					Sensitivity indicators
Brgy	Type	Name	Area (sq. meters)	Estimated construction cost (Php)	Capacity (classrooms, bed capacity, loading capacity)	Wall materials used	Existing condition	Structure employing hazard resistant design
Brgy 1	Health Center	Barangay 1 Health Center	50	700,000	20 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 1	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	120	1,600,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 2	Day Care Center	Barangay 2 Day Care Center			20 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Hospital	Pagamutang Bayan ng Carmona			25 beds	Concrete	Fair	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	110	1,500,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 3	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	96	1,800,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 4	Health Center	Main Health Center	560	11,000,000	150 patients	Concrete	Very Good	Yes
	Government Building	Municipal Hall	2150	34,000,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
	Evacuation	Hon. Marciano Mapanoo Park	1680	10,000,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	120	1,600,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 5	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	70	1,100,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 6	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	80	1,350,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 7	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	130	2,200,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 8	Day Care Center	Rosario Day Care Center	56	700,000	15 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Barangay 8 Health Center	56	700,000	30 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Carmona Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
		Carmona National High School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	120	1,500,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 9	Bridge	Maduya Bridge				Concrete	Good	Yes
		SLEX Bridge				Concrete	Good	Yes
		CPM Bridge				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Government Building	DILG Compound	1 626	25,000,000		Concrete		Yes
	Day Care Center	Maduya Day Care Center	110	1,100,000	25 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Maduya Health Center	120	1,100,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Maduya Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
		CvSU				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Maduya Barangay Hall	150	2,000,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
Brgy 10	Day Care Center	Hon. Marcelino L. Basbas Sr. DCC	70	900,000	30 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Cabilang Baybay Health Center	56	500,000	40 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Cabilang Baybay Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	160	2,000,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
BRGY 11	Bridge	Mabuhay Bridge				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Day Care Center	Mabuhay Day Care Center	70	900,000	30 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Mabuhay Health Center	100	1,400,000	50 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Mabuhay Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	200	2,500,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
BRGY 12	Bridge	Milagrosa Bridge (MC)				Concrete	Good	Yes
		Milagrosa-Lantic Bridge				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Day Care Center	Milagrosa Proper Day Care Center	64	850,000	15 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 4 Day Care Center	90	1,400,000	25 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 3 Day Care Center	64	850,000	25 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 2 Day Care Center	56	650,000	25 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Milagrosa Health Center	114	3,000,000	70 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 3 Health Center	72	1,100,000	30 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Phase 4 Health Center	96	1,700,000	50 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
	School	Milagrosa Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
		Milagrosa West Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
	Barangay Hall	Barangay Hall	240	4,000,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
BRGY 13	BridgeDay Care Center	Cedar Bridge	50			Concrete	Good	Yes
		Lantic Day Care Center	70	900,000	30 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
	Health Center	Paligawan Matanda Day Care Center	70	900,000	30 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Davilan Day Care Center	42	450,000	10 children	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Lantic Health Center	64	1,000,000	50 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Carmona Estate Health Center	100	1,250,000	50 patients	Concrete	Very Good	Yes
	School Barangay Hall	Paligawan Matanda Health Center	105	1,600,000	30 patients	Concrete	Good	Yes
		Lantic Elementary School				Concrete	Good	Yes
		Lantic Barangay Hall	240	3,850,000		Concrete	Good	Yes
BRGY	Exposure indicators			Sensitivity indicators
BRGY	Road Name	Road Classification	Replacement Cost per linear kilometer	Surface Type	Existing Condition	Hazard Resistant Design
BRGY 1	San Pablo St	Municipal	9,130,000	Asphalt	Poor	No
BRGY 2	San Jose St	Municipal	4,930,000	Concrete	Good	YES
BRGY 3	San Jose St	Municipal	5,070,000	Concrete	Good	YES
BRGY 4	JM Loyola St	Municipal	5,020,000	Concrete	Good	YES
BRGY 5	JM Loyola St	Municipal	4,180,000	Concrete	Good	YES
BRGY 6	Magallanes St	Municipal	5,000,000	Concrete	Good	YES
BRGY 7	Magallanes St	Municipal	4,730,000	Concrete	Good	YES
BRGY 8	Rosario	Barangay	960,000	Concrete	Fair	No
Brgy 9	JM Loyola St	Municipal	6,320,000	Concrete	Good	YES
	Mayor’s Blvd	Barangay	37,060,000	Concrete	Fair	No
	Dahlia	Municipal	5,000,000	Concrete	Poor	No
	Governor’s Drive	National road	18,350,000	Concrete	Fair	YES
Brgy 10	Governor’s Drive	National road	19,840,000	Concrete	Fair	YES
BRGY 11	Governor’s Drive	National road	32,160,000	Concrete	Good	YES
	Sugar Road (access road to evacuation center)	Barangay	28,060,000	Concrete	Fair	YES
	Hebron	Barangay	1,770,000	Concrete	Fair	YES
	JM Loyola St	Municipal	12,470,000	Concrete	Good	YES
BRGY 12	Sta. Maria	Barangay	10,510,000	Concrete	Fair	YES
	Sta. Rosa	Barangay	5,070,000	Concrete	Fair	YES
	Patindig-Araw	Barangay	9,380,000	Concrete	Poor	No
BRGY 13	Domingo C CarilloSr	Barangay	12,070,000	Concrete	Fair	No
Decision Area/s	Technical Findings	Implications	Policy Interventions
A	B	C	D
Barangay Maduya Barangay Cabilang Baybay	1. Categorized as moderate risk 2. _____exposed to high susceptible flood areas, with an estimated flood height of > 1 meter. The estimated likelihood of occurrence is 3-6 years. 3. Disruption of access system may last for or five days, affecting settlements and production areas 4. LGU does not have the capacity to pursue road improvement related projects.	1. Temporary isolation of communities due to long-term disruption of the access system during floods 2. Poses difficulty in evacuation and response making which may lead to death to deaths and injuries in isolated areas 3. Major disruption in the transportation of agricultural produce resulting in potential losses	1. Strategic establishment of alternate/escape routes leading to relatively safer areas 2. Climate proofing of existing route through road and drainage upgrading in coordination with NGAs 3. Pre-emptive evacuation of areas that will be potentially isolated during floods 4. Formulation of flood contingency plans targeting potentially affected communities
Population	1. Populace to be affected by low to moderate risk in all barangays except Barangay Bancal. 2. Moderate effects can be assumed at Barangays 8, Maduya and Cabilang Baybay.	1. High incidence of water-related diseases and illnesses. 2. High incidence of vector-borne diseases and illnesses.	1. Provision for improved medical support such as immunization, medicines and the like. 2. Proper IEC on overall cleanliness to avoid spread of diseases and illnesses. 3. Provision of WASH facilities if the need arises.
Agriculture	1. Low to moderate risk in flood prone areas particularly in Barangay Maduya and Cabilang Baybay. 2. Rice as the primary agricultural produce to be affected.	1. Damages to crops particularly rice in Barangay Maduya.	1. Provision of alternative livelihood. 2. Assistance for crop insurance. 3. Use of flood-resilient rice varieties.
Climate Stimuli		Impact Area	Areas of Concerns
Climate Stimuli		Impact Area	System/s of Interest	Development Sectors
Increase in Temperature	Potential increase of temperature per annum by 1.025 °C from 2000 to 2020. Further temperatures will increase per annum by 1.975 °C from 2020 to 2050. Specifically, projected mean temperatures for the months of DJF will increase by 1.0 °C, 1.2 °C in MAM, 0.9 °C JJA and 1.0 °C for SON.	All Barangays	All Barangays: Population, Critical Facilities, Urban Use, and Lifeline Facilities	Environment, Social, Infrastructure, Institution, Economic
Increase in Temperature		All Barangays	Barangays 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14: Natural Resources (Agricultural areas)	Environment, Social, Infrastructure, Institution, Economic
Decrease in Rainfall	Potential decrease of rainfall by 10.2mm from 2000 to 2020. Further, rainfall will decrease by -4.875mm from 2020 to 2050. Specifically, projected rainfall for the months of DJF and MAM decreases by 26.1and 28.2, respectively, while increases in the months of JJA and SON by 13.1 and 0.4, respectively.	All Barangays	All Barangays: Population, Critical Facilities, Urban Use and Lifeline Facilities	Environment, Social, Infrastructure, Institution, Economic
Decrease in Rainfall		All Barangays	Barangays 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14: Natural Resources (Agricultural areas)	Environment, Social, Infrastructure, Institution, Economic
Climate Stimuli		Impact Area	Areas of Concerns
Climate Stimuli		Impact Area	System/s of Interest	Development Sectors
Increase in Extreme Rainfall Event	Extreme rainfall events are projected to be frequent.	All Barangays	All Barangays: Population, Critical Facilities, Urban Use and Lifeline Facilities	Environment, Social, Infrastructure, Institution, Economic
Increase in Extreme Rainfall Event	Extreme rainfall events are projected to be frequent.	All Barangays	Barangays 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14: Natural Resources (Agricultural areas)	Environment, Social, Infrastructure, Institution, Economic
Increase in Hot Days	Potential umber of hotter days increases, from 630 days observed during 1971-2000 the no. hot days for 2020 is projected to increase by almost triple and by almost 5 times for 2050.	All Barangays	All Barangays: Population, Critical Facilities, Urban Use and Lifeline Facilities	Environment, Social, Infrastructure, Institution, Economic
Increase in Hot Days		All Barangays	Barangays 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14: Natural Resources (Agricultural areas)	Environment, Social, Infrastructure, Institution, Economic
Increase in Dry Days	Number of projected dry days decreases, by almost 1000 days for 2020 and 2050.	All Barangays	All Barangays: Population, Critical Facilities, Urban Use and Lifeline Facilities	Environment, Social, Infrastructure, Institution, Economic
Increase in Dry Days		All Barangays	Barangays 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14: Natural Resources (Agricultural areas)	Environment, Social, Infrastructure, Institution, Economic
Barangay	Degree of impact score	Adaptive capacity score	Vulnerability
	E	F	G
	E	F	Vulnerability Index	Vulnerability Score
Barangay 1	1	1	1	Low
Barangay 2	1	1	1	Low
Barangay 3	1	1	1	Low
Barangay 4	1	1	1	Low
Barangay 5	1	1	1	Low
Barangay 6	1	1	1	Low
Barangay 7	1	1	1	Low
Barangay 8	1	1	1	Low
Barangay 9	2	2	4	Moderate
Barangay 10	2	2	4	Moderate
Barangay 11	2	2	4	Moderate
Barangay 12	2	2	4	Moderate
Barangay 13	2	2	4	Moderate
Barangay 14	2	2	4	Moderate
Barangay	Degree of impact score	Adaptive capacity score	Vulnerability
	E	F	G
	E	F	Vulnerability Index	Vulnerability Score
Barangay 1	1	2	2	Low
Barangay 2	1	2	2	Low
Barangay 3	1	2	2	Low
Barangay 4	1	2	2	Low
Barangay 5	1	2	2	Low
Barangay 6	1	2	2	Low
Barangay 7	1	2	2	Low
Barangay 8	1	2	2	Low
Barangay 9	2	2	4	Moderate
Barangay 10	2	2	4	Moderate
Barangay 11	2	2	4	Moderate
Barangay 12	2	2	4	Moderate
Barangay 13	2	2	4	Moderate
Barangay 14	2	2	4	Moderate
Barangay	Degree of impact score	Adaptive capacity score	Vulnerability
Barangay	Degree of impact score	Adaptive capacity score	Vulnerability Index	Vulnerability Score
Barangay 1	2	1	2	Low
Barangay 2	1	1	1	Low
Barangay 3	1	1	1	Low
Barangay 4	1	1	1	Low
Barangay 5	1	1	1	Low
Barangay 6	1	1	1	Low
Barangay 7	1	1	1	Low
Barangay 8	3	2	6	Moderate
Barangay 9	3	2	6	Moderate
Barangay 10	3	2	6	Moderate
Barangay 11	1	1	1	Low
Barangay 12	2	1	2	Low
Barangay 13	1	1	1	Low
Barangay 14	1	1	1	Low
Decision Area/s	Technical Findings	Implications	Policy Interventions
Climate Stimuli: Increase in Temperature, Hot Days, and Dry Days and Decrease in Rainfall
Population: All Barangays	1. Based on the data given, temperature will increase per annum by 1.025 °C from 2000 to 2020. Further temperatures will increase per annum by 1.975 °C from 2020 to 2050. Specifically, projected mean temperatures for the months of DJF will increase by 1.0 °C, 1.2 °C in MAM, 0.9 °C JJA and 1.0 °C for SON. 2. Based on the data given, rainfall will decrease by 10.2mm from 2000 to 2020. Further, rainfall will decrease by -4.875mm from 2020 to 2050. Specifically, projected rainfall for the months of DJF and MAM decreases by 26.1and 28.2, respectively, while increases in the months of JJA and SON by 13.1 and 0.4, respectively. 3. A total of 124 families with approximately 199 hectares of rice, 41 hectares of banana and 1 hectare of mango plantation will be affected among others	1. Increase in heat-related diseases and illnesses. 2. Shortage of water supply for urban use. 3. Discomfort to vulnerable groups such as young, old, pregnant and persons with disabilities.	1. Provision of additional medical support to the populace prioritizing vulnerable groups such as young, old, pregnant and persons with disabilities. 2. Promotion of the use of rainwater harvesting systems particularly at the household levels as alternative and additional water supply. 3. Promotion of the use of alternative power sources such as solar panels and incentivize those with such to mitigate high consumption.
Agricultural Areas: Barangay 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14		1. Decrease in overall productivity of crops particularly rice, banana and mango. 2. High water demand vis-a-vis lower water supply. 3. Pest infestation and other crop-related diseases may occur. 4. Diminishing local food supply and higher external supply needed.	1. Promotion of climate-resilient crops/varieties and providing incentives to famers adopting such. 2. Institutionalization of varied crop rotation with technical and financial assistance. 3. Establishment of alternative water source (now dependent on ground water) such as water impounding dam and the like for additional water supply. 4. Provision of alternative livelihood to affected agricultural families.
Critical Facilities: All Barangays		1. Increase in the utilization of sources due high incidences of diseases and illnesses. 2. Strain in manpower and resources available to cater the increase in services to be provided.	1. Annual increase of budget and resources to cater increasing services to be provided. 2. Mandatory improvement of facilities vis-à-vis arising needs of the populace. 3. Regular maintenance of critical facilities.
Decision Area/s	Technical Findings	Implications	Policy Interventions
Lifeline Facilities: All Barangays		1. Strain to lifeline facilities that may cause damages.	1. Regular monitoring and maintenance of all lifeline facilities.
Urban Use: All Barangays		1. High risk of fire incidences. 2. Damages to infrastructures. 3. Low water supply.	1. Provision for flexi time work to uplift workers’ productivity. 2. Mandatory insurance for all facilities, if needed. 3. Sourcing out of additional water supply for all purposes.
Climate Stimuli: Increase in Extreme Rainfall Event
Population: All Barangays	Extreme rainfall events are projected to be frequent.	1. Increase in water-borne diseases and illnesses. 2. Increase in immune-related diseases. 3. Power outage as well as disruption in water supply. 4. Flooding and intense rains may cause damages to residential units especially those living in makeshift houses.	1. Provision of additional medical support to the populace prioritizing vulnerable groups such as young, old, pregnant and persons with disabilities. 2. Provision of housing loans/relocation for those living in makeshift houses and those living in highly vulnerable areas. 3. Promotion of disaster bags for every households.
Agricultural Areas: Barangay 9, 10, 11, 12, 13, 14		1. Flooding inundating agricultural areas. 2. Reduced agricultural productivity. 3. Reduced farming families’ income.	1. Promotion of climate-resilient crops/varieties and providing incentives to famers adopting such. 2. Institutionalization of varied crop rotation with technical and financial assistance. 3. Provision of alternative livelihood to affected agricultural families.
Critical Facilities: All Barangays		1. Damages to critical facilities. 2. Increase in services to be provided to cater increasing incidences of diseases and illnesses. 3. Disruption to delivery of services.	1. Annual increase of budget and resources to cater increasing services to be provided. 2. Mandatory improvement of facilities vis-à-vis arising needs of the populace. 3. Regular maintenance of critical facilities. 4. Transfer of critical facilities if necessary to areas not vulnerable to the climate stimuli.
Decision Area/s	Technical Findings	Implications	Policy Interventions
Lifeline Facilities: All Barangays		1. Damages to lifeline facilities. 2. Disruption to delivery of services.	1. Regular monitoring and maintenance of all lifeline facilities.
Urban Use: All Barangays